MMA · UFC · 24 January 2026
Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett Prediction
Our prediction for Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett (UFC, 24 January 2026) was Paddy Pimblett by submission at odds of 2.45. It lost.
Published 23 Jan 2026 · Updated 25 Jan 2026
Our pick
Our pre-match tip
Paddy Pimblett by submission
Odds at posting: 2.45
Our analysis
I see a systematic jiu-jitsu difference for Pimblett on the ground, and I know Gaethje makes grappling mistakes.
Published before kick-off and graded in public, like every tip we post.
Odds and implied probability
The tip was posted at decimal odds of 2.45, which the bookmaker's price implies as a 40.8% chance. A one-unit stake lost 1 unit. Odds are the price at posting, not live odds.
Result
Paddy Pimblett by submission lost, and the tip stays published. We keep every result on the record, wins and losses alike — browse the full track record and judge for yourself.