Basketball · NCAA · 17 February 2026

Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs Prediction

Our prediction for Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs (NCAA, 17 February 2026) was Over 167 points at odds of 1.91. It won.

Published 17 Feb 2026 · Updated 18 Feb 2026

Our pick

Our pre-match tip

Over 167 points

Odds at posting: 1.91

WON

Our analysis

Louisville has a top 15 offense, and I expect a motivated SMU to score well at home after their one-point loss.

Published before kick-off and graded in public, like every tip we post.

Odds and implied probability

The tip was posted at decimal odds of 1.91, which the bookmaker's price implies as a 52.4% chance. A one-unit stake returned +0.91 units. Odds are the price at posting, not live odds.

Result

Over 167 points won. The tip stays on the record alongside every loss we've ever posted — browse the full NBA track record and judge for yourself.