Basketball · NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament · 21 March 2026
Louisville vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction
Our prediction for Louisville vs Michigan State Spartans (NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament, 21 March 2026) was Michigan State Spartans -4.5 at odds of 1.95. It won.
Published 21 Mar 2026
Our pick
Our pre-match tip
Michigan State Spartans -4.5
Odds at posting: 1.95
Our analysis
Louisville is without star freshman Muel Brown, and I expect Michigan State to have a huge advantage on the glass and slow the game down.
Published before kick-off and graded in public, like every tip we post.
Odds and implied probability
The tip was posted at decimal odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker's price implies as a 51.3% chance. A one-unit stake returned +0.95 units. Odds are the price at posting, not live odds.
Result
Michigan State Spartans -4.5 won. The tip stays on the record alongside every loss we've ever posted — browse the full NBA track record and judge for yourself.