Basketball · NCAAB · 17 February 2026
Louisville vs SMU Prediction
Our prediction for Louisville vs SMU (NCAAB, 17 February 2026) was Louisville -2.5 at odds of 1.83. It lost.
Published 17 Feb 2026 · Updated 18 Feb 2026
Our pick
Our pre-match tip
Louisville -2.5
Odds at posting: 1.83
Our analysis
I see Louisville as the much better team (14th KenPom vs 38th), with a top 15 offense and a superior defense (27th) that can contend with SMU.
Published before kick-off and graded in public, like every tip we post.
Odds and implied probability
The tip was posted at decimal odds of 1.83, which the bookmaker's price implies as a 54.6% chance. A one-unit stake lost 1 unit. Odds are the price at posting, not live odds.
Result
Louisville -2.5 lost, and the tip stays published. We keep every result on the record, wins and losses alike — browse the full NBA track record and judge for yourself.